I was a bit caught off-guard by this because I was under the impression that Concordia-Portland was fairly strong due to the growth of its online programs, but I also know that institutions have to be very careful in regards to what they share about their circumstances. Though, I do remember their having had issues with the U.S. Department of Education over a company they partnered with to grow their said programs. Turns out that they never recovered from the dip in enrollment that that issue may have caused along with other factors. From what I understand the big problem for small private liberal arts colleges is that a good portion of their operating budgets (upwards of 90%) come from tuition revenue. If a college takes a hit in enrollment or its administration makes decisions that turn out to be unsuccessful recovery will be incredibly challenging; they may not be able to get out of the hole even if enrollment increases in the coming year(s). Our Concordias have a lending agency to rely upon (LCEF) that other colleges may not have, but there is a tipping point in which the risks end up being too big.
Peace,
Scott+
I agree with your assessment, Scott.
My question has to do with the past several years in the transition and process of leadership selection following the retirement of the past president and the (non)selection of a new president. There had to be a ramp-up time-frame for the board and national leadership in the months prior to the last president leaving. If there are gaps in funding or changes in program, all the more reason to expedite the selection process. This one, from my recollection of the timing, seems to have stopped and gone to extended interim at some point. That could be either due to board concerns or to what we call in the Missouri Synod the Prior Approval Panel Process.
I don't know what if any board concerns there were as they assembled their list of candidates or as they determined to hold things up. However, I've been through a stopped Prior Approval Panel Process at one of our beloved synodical colleges, and know that it can present a significant bump/chasm in the road for the board of regents in exercising their regency.
Of course, there's no going back, but in order for this closure to provide a "teaching moment," there should be sufficient transparency in what happened that other colleges, and even the seminary, can learn from them.
Dave Benke
I found this article to be helpful:https://www.oregonlive.com/education/2020/02/portlands-concordia-university-will-close-at-end-of-spring-semester.html. It highlights some of the issues I mentioned. I looked up when President Schlimpert retired (2018) which was a couple of years after they started having serious financial issues (2015). Though, I'm not all that familiar how the presidential search would work in such a circumstance, I would think that would put a damper on the process. What say you?
The northeast is also facing similar issues of enrollment because of demographic changes.
To begin, I don't have enough data to make an informed comment, so I'm just making a best guess based on instinct.
So we start with
a problem - decreased financials and enrollment
Then we have a retirement of a longtime leader
At that point, there are several basic tracks:
1) interim with belt-tightening
2) fast-track new leader selection going for
a) trusted leader
b) leader unafraid to make tough decisions
c) leader who brings both a financial accountability team and a fresh start team
3) wait and see - interim as interim not much happens.
I would pick #2 if I were interested in taking the best shot at keeping it going. Even then I'd make sure people were aware that the new leader was on a tightrope. So you'd have to pick someone who could walk the tightrope.
The Prior Approval Process is a sticky wicket if choice #2 is the one that the board wants to go with, because it takes time and can eliminate candidates.
Beyond the PAP, there's this - the major announcement in and around the last synodical convention was that the "historical college debt" had been eliminated by a property sale overseas. So there is no more historical college debt. Cool. Does that not give greater flexibility of approach to institutions that are below the water line? Apparently the answer is No. Because the same question could have been asked surrounding the closing of Selma - if you're gaining $15-20 million, is there no way to support the struggling schools? The answer times two to date is No.
I don't know what happened or when it happened, am blessedly out of that loop, but would simply ask those kinds of questions.
Because at the bottom of the day, all these smallish institutions without a big foundation behind them are on notice. As you indicate, the demographics are daunting.
This goes to the downturn in numbers of Lutheran kids in our schools and the downturn in the seminaries' enrollments over the years (with the exception in the seminaries of the SMP/Alternate Route student bodies). In that instance, I don't see a problem with prioritizing getting "traditional" student enrollment up as a goal. But realize it's a higher hill than you think because except for the clergy coming through the "family business" route (grandpa, dad, our uncles and cousins are pastors - it's what we do - a small but somewhat dependable group for recruitment), there are way less young men from among us who are available or who have interest in this vocation. So I would specifically NOT advise throwing the baby out with the bathwater, so to speak, and downsizing/downgrading the SMP and Alternate Route programs to serve traditional students only. That's begging for trouble, in my opinion.
Dave Benke