Does anyone know the attrition rate among seminary graduates? How many who graduate from an ELCA seminary are on the ELCA roster after 10 years, 20 years and 30 years?
My impression is that we lose a lot of pastors and AIMs, but its only an impression. I often wonder how much of the predicted shortage of pastors is the result of people dropping off of the roster due lack of a call or burnout. If a significant number or our seminary graduates drop out before they reach retirement, we need to ask why. Do we need more people to go to seminary, or do we need to retain more of those who graduate? What percentage of seminary graduates never receive a call or job in and ELCA congregation? Are we encouraging people to invest in a seminary education because there is a place for them, or because we need the money?
I don't know the answer to those questions.