JAQ still thinks men will prepare for a ministry that will 1) not sustain them and their families, 2) leave them with crushing school debt, 3) be a "dead-end" for them at about age 50, 4) require them to find another career just at the time when the financial needs of their families are the greatest, and 5) totally eviscerate any concept of "call" to life-long, fulltime ministry.
It's as if a couple getting married figured they would have to split up in about 20 years and find other partners.
I believe the problem of too many pastors or too few pastors will be solved without any programmatic initiative at all.
1. Men (and for us, women) will wise up and not even enter seminary or any other kind of training for the ordained ministry.
2. We as synods and districts will wise up and close those ridiculously inbred, closed, redundant, property-poor and aging congregations of 30-50 people who think they can sustain any kind of pastor or mission-oriented ministry.
3. Our internal squabbles and failure to winsomely present the Gospel to the 21st century world will drive people away and make some of us even more irrelevant. Some of us will wallow in self-pity and die old and alone.
NOW THE GOOD STUFF.
There are lively, dedicated, competent pastors and lay people in viable working congregations all over our country. They are rolling with the punches, re-tooling as needed, digging deeper into their pockets for mission support, tackling new issues in new ways, serving people locally and internationally, finding new allies (even OMG! among Presbyterians and Methodists!), and rearing children who are not being taught that when it comes to "church", they must live in their great grandfather's social and cultural milieu.
They are not the LCMS of Walther or Pieper of 1935.
They are not the Augustana Lutheran Church of 1955.
They are not the LCA of 1965.
They aren't even the ELCA of 1988.
They most certainly are not the Lutherans of the 1500s (who BTW were hardly united or of one mind, either).
And, folks, that is a good thing. For they are the real One, Holy, Catholic and Apostolic Church, a living and evolving organism, that "thing" which scripture promises us will abide.