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Messages - Mike Gehlhausen

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31
Your Turn / Re: Election 2020
« on: September 29, 2020, 09:42:46 AM »
The point is what this information tells us about his total financial situation, how he does business (badly), with whom he has ongoing million dollar financial obligations, How he has handled his finances (badly, stiffing the people to whom he owes money), and how these various financial messes could potentially affect how he operates as president. There may be criminality in how he did his taxes. But that’s not the whole point.
Of course he has lied for years and years about his finances.

The economy was doing well up until the pandemic.  While Trump is a canny individual, I can't say he has lied about his finances.  There is the SEC and too many competitors for him to survive for that to be baldly true.

He has good tax attorneys, and he takes risks which blow up in his face a lot.  That is an entrepreneur.  It is Teddy Roosevelt's man in the arena versus those who criticize him from the sidelines.  You don't build and keep what Trump has without being a good businessman.

But… The bigger issues remain. The coronavirus. The scoundrels around him. His threats to our constitution. The Russians.

<sigh>  The coronavirus is a bigger issue, but that is simply because it continues to affect all of our lives.  The other issues are not bigger issues.  Scoundrels around him who have done anything have been charged and convicted.  He poses no threat to our constitution.  And the Russian thing is a common accusation with no real basis ever proven.

This will be a messy election.  But we'll get through it. 

32
Your Turn / Re: More Important Things
« on: September 28, 2020, 08:35:22 AM »
Pr. Butler.

My condolences to you on the passing of your mother-in-law.

Indeed, there are many more important things than politics and this forum.  Thanks for your reminder to focus on them!

33
Your Turn / Re: Election 2020
« on: September 28, 2020, 08:27:48 AM »
https://quillette.com/2020/09/26/the-bias-that-divides-us/

A good discussion of the "myside bias" that is so often evident on this forum.

Thank you for posting this.  As the article shows, it is far from just this forum that shows this bias.  However, I have definitely found this attitude to dominate this forum of late.

Any charge against or criticism of Trump's is inevitably dismissed by many by the fact that he has generally benefited the conservative cause especially in terms of supporting a pro-life agenda.

Any good thing that Trump does is inevitably dismissed by some because of his lack of leadership on the coronavirus, dealings with the Russians, financial dealings, etc.

Any charge against or criticism of Biden's is inevitably dismissed by some because he is not Trump.

Any good thing or reasonable position Biden advocates is inevitably dismissed by some by the fact that the progressive wing is intent on promulgating identity politics and that riots and looting are ongoing because of the "Defund the Police" movement.

I tire of the length of the presidential campaign every four years, but with the coronavirus, I am especially tired of this one and ready for it to be over.

34
Your Turn / Re: Election 2020
« on: September 24, 2020, 09:19:45 AM »
Mr. Gehlhausen,

Can you argue for me how Trump's Access Hollwood comments were "creepier" than a credible accusation of rape?  Or the video of Biden groping little girls, or sniffing their hair, during public appearances (when the victims could not get away without causing a scene)? Or his insistence on swimming nude in front of female Secret Service agents?

He spoke about grabbing women's private parts.  That is not creepier than rape, but that was not the context of Pr. Hughes' comments.

Trump also has a credible accusation of rape from E. Jean Carroll

Trump has had numerous accusations of visiting the dressing rooms of the beauty pageants he has sponsored.

He has made several creepy comments about how "hot" his daughter Ivanka is.

He's had numerous accusations of groping women.  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Donald_Trump_sexual_misconduct_allegations

That's the last I'll post on any of this.  It is an unsavory subject, and people will believe what they want to on these matters  I support Tara Reade in her accusations against Biden, and I think they should get more of a hearing.   But Trump is not clean on this subject.

35
Your Turn / Re: Election 2020
« on: September 24, 2020, 08:41:59 AM »
I have to disagree.  I generally agree with your insights, but the Democrats did nominate a candidate with less baggage and a more appealing personality.

Biden's baggage is nowhere near Whitewater, the Rose Law Firm, Benghazi, federal e-mails on private servers, etc.  And Biden's net favorables are significantly higher than Hilary's. 

Given the polarization in our nation, I do not know who will win in November.  Biden's low-key campaign seems to be a mistake, but he may be right that the best thing to do is let Trump be Trump and push undecideds into the Biden camp.

He's neck deep in Ukraine corruption and clearly suffering from dementia to the point his handlers will rarely let him out in public. He's also incredibly creepy around women and girls.  I don't find creepy atractive.  So to my point, Democrats constantly berating Trump begs the question, why is Biden the best you could come up with?

I think the whole "dementia" thing is going to backfire on people on Tuesday when he debates Trump.  He's made a few gaffes here and there, but I've seen nothing really in Biden to make that narrative stick.

The Ukraine thing is Washington swamp corruption, but it is much like Trump and the Russians.  Lots of bad optics, but nothing actually illegal.  If not, don't you think Trump would have had the DOJ on Biden long ago?

And Trump is also creepy at times with women and girls.  Given the Access Hollywood tape, arguably creepier.

I don't like the Democratic agenda, but I don't think Biden was a bad choice.

36
Your Turn / Re: Election 2020
« on: September 24, 2020, 08:15:06 AM »
The Democrats in 2016 could have nominated a candidate with less baggage and a more appealing personality and narrative. Not satisfied with that failure they repeated their efforts in 2020.

I have to disagree.  I generally agree with your insights, but the Democrats did nominate a candidate with less baggage and a more appealing personality.

Biden's baggage is nowhere near Whitewater, the Rose Law Firm, Benghazi, federal e-mails on private servers, etc.  And Biden's net favorables are significantly higher than Hilary's. 

Given the polarization in our nation, I do not know who will win in November.  Biden's low-key campaign seems to be a mistake, but he may be right that the best thing to do is let Trump be Trump and push undecideds into the Biden camp.

37
Your Turn / Re: Election 2020
« on: September 23, 2020, 05:29:11 PM »
I don't think anyone is arguing that the laws against murder will reduce the number of murders. Or that the laws against speeding are meant to reduce the number of speeders. So, why would pro-life people think that more laws against abortion would reduce the number of abortions?

I often find it difficult to understand you, but I am completely confused now.

I think everyone but you is arguing that the laws against murder reduce the number of murders.

I think everyone but you is arguing that the laws against speeding reduce the number of speeders.

And, yes, laws against abortion will reduce the number of abortions.  Most people respect the law, and they do not want to incur the penalties for violating it.

38
Your Turn / Re: Election 2020
« on: September 23, 2020, 04:39:02 PM »
I know that much of this is meant as a humorous counter to Pr. Austin.  But it also makes some good points.

The plagiarism charge is plain. As are the charges of influence peddling.

George W. Bush was also known for a lot of gaffes.  I myself think it wise for a president to be in contact with his speechwriters and advisors.  I think Joe Biden has a good mind, and an ability to work well in a bipartisan manner.  If the progressive wing of the Democratic party was less powerful, then I might even consider voting for him especially if we do get a good conservative justice added to the Supreme Court by the end of the year.

Outside of Bork though, I don't remember Biden being all that horrible during Supreme Court confirmations.  He asked tough questions, but I remember him being pretty fair. 

Biden is a moderate guy. He supported the Hyde Amendment up until last year.  I prefer a Republican on most issues, but I remember thinking that he could have worked well with a McCain presidency.  It is the rejection of moderates like Biden that lead to the AOCs and Trumps which feed our current polarization.

It is a risk to give in to those whose values differ from their own and allow them a voice and some control.  It feels better to yell at each other and draw extremes.  However, that gets us nowhere.  I'm not willing to vote for Biden for President because that also entails voting for Harris as Vice President and an endorsement of the progressive Democrats' agenda.  But I'd vote for Biden as my Senator especially the Biden of last year who supported the Hyde Amendment.

Here is a refresher from Sen. Barrasso on Joe Biden during Supreme Court hearing in the past.  https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/517616-gop-senator-attacks-biden-im-not-sure-what-he-remember

There's not much detail there so I'll have to take Senator Barrasso's word for it on the Thomas and Alito confirmations.

I certainly don't remember Biden leading the charge on the Alito filibuster.  Biden was no longer the chairman of the Judiciary Committee at that point; Republican Arlen Specter was so I'm not certain how much influence Biden had on Alito's confirmation at all.  And as I said earlier, John Roberts' confirmation a few months earlier went fairly smoothly.

Bork stands out.  Clarence Thomas had the Anita Hill issue, but I think that process was actually conducted fairly as a whole when considering its controversial charges.   Especially when compared to how the Kavanaugh confirmation hearing was conducted.

There's plenty to condemn Biden for, and the Bork hearings were a travesty.  However, I don't think Biden's tenure on the Judiciary Committee is all that rich an area to criticize him on especially now 12 years removed from his serving on it.

39
Your Turn / Re: Coronavirus news
« on: September 23, 2020, 03:45:46 PM »
Here's one of the ways my home state of Kentucky has stepped up to ensure Covid is not an issue during high school basketball season.

https://www.wlwt.com/article/kentucky-high-school-basketball-no-jump-ball-to-start-games/34113738

....I wish I was making this up.

Wow, that is surprising especially for Kentucky where high school and college basketball are so popular.  I guess I can see the point, but it seems pretty silly given all of the other physical contact during the game.  Are the number of fouls going to be reduced next to discourage guarding from becoming too physical?

40
Your Turn / Re: Election 2020
« on: September 23, 2020, 12:02:29 PM »
And if Trump’s dementia or other forms of craziness should take him down in some way, we get Pence. He scares me, not only because of his extreme views, but because he Doesn’t just rant and bait: he seems to know how to get things done.
Now you will want to tell me how much you fear Ms. Harris in the oval office. Don’t bother, I think I know.

If I could vote for Pence for President, then I would.  I think he would make a much better president than Trump. 

I can't tell from your syntax whether you think Pence rants and baits or not.  He doesn't.   I can hope that if Trump is reelected, then it is Pence that follows Trump as the next Republican presidential candidate.  I'd much prefer Pence to Senator Tom Cotton or especially Trump, Jr.

But then I'd prefer Nikki Haley to Pence.  But I'd take Pence gladly.

41
I knew I wasn’t going to get a direct answer to my questions.
So, never mind.
I’m not going to ask Dr. B Hughes any more questions.

Fair enough.  I myself saw two very good responses from Prs. Hughes and Fienan that furthered the discussion. I thank them for those responses.

42
We've been talking about how divisive and partisan recent Supreme Court confirmations have been.

I am just noting that even though the Samuel Alito confirmation a few months later was contentious including a filibuster threat, John Roberts was confirmed -- as Chief Justice no less -- in 2005 by a 78-22 vote after spirited but not that controversial confirmation hearings.

As noted before, Barbara Lagoa was confirmed last year to the United States Court of Appeals for the Eleventh Circuit by a vote of 80-15.  I don't doubt that if she is nominated for the Supreme Court, she will be attacked mercilessly and then confirmed by a party-line vote because of the election season circumstances. 

But both of these do go to show that judiciary confirmations are not wrecked by partisanship in every circumstance.

43
Your Turn / Re: Election 2020
« on: September 23, 2020, 09:46:06 AM »
Having answered your question, I ask you to return the favor-- Why would anyone endorse plagiarism by voting for Biden? Please don't tell you don't think he is a plagiarist; he is. And please don't say you support him because the alternative is worse- we're talking about Biden here, not any other candidate. We know he is has disavowed most of his legislative record as a senator. We know he engaged in influence peddling for his family and plagiarism while running for president every few decades on drastically different platforms. We know his skills have declined to the point that he needs a teleprompter even to answer questions from the press. None of those things are disputable. We further know that his treatment of SCOTUS nominees in the late 80's and especially early 90's when he was chairman of the senate judiciary committee was so unconscionable that many people trace the descent of today's SCOTUS appointments into bitter partisan rancor back to those episodes under his leadership. Are we really willing to vote for a man with no remaining discernible skills and a documented history of disqualifying dishonesty and corruption just to get the Green New Deal, war in Syria, open borders, and no police?

I know that much of this is meant as a humorous counter to Pr. Austin.  But it also makes some good points.

The plagiarism charge is plain. As are the charges of influence peddling.

George W. Bush was also known for a lot of gaffes.  I myself think it wise for a president to be in contact with his speechwriters and advisors.  I think Joe Biden has a good mind, and an ability to work well in a bipartisan manner.  If the progressive wing of the Democratic party was less powerful, then I might even consider voting for him especially if we do get a good conservative justice added to the Supreme Court by the end of the year.

Outside of Bork though, I don't remember Biden being all that horrible during Supreme Court confirmations.  He asked tough questions, but I remember him being pretty fair. 

Biden is a moderate guy. He supported the Hyde Amendment up until last year.  I prefer a Republican on most issues, but I remember thinking that he could have worked well with a McCain presidency.  It is the rejection of moderates like Biden that lead to the AOCs and Trumps which feed our current polarization.

It is a risk to give in to those whose values differ from their own and allow them a voice and some control.  It feels better to yell at each other and draw extremes.  However, that gets us nowhere.  I'm not willing to vote for Biden for President because that also entails voting for Harris as Vice President and an endorsement of the progressive Democrats' agenda.  But I'd vote for Biden as my Senator especially the Biden of last year who supported the Hyde Amendment.

44
Your Turn / Re: Election 2020
« on: September 23, 2020, 08:15:59 AM »
Cindy McCain rebukes Trump and publicly endorses Joe Biden for president
McCain was motivated in part by Trump’s recent comments on the military, where he called war heroes ‘losers’ and ‘suckers’
Cindy McCain has endorsed Joe Biden for president, a stunning rebuke of Donald Trump by the widow of the Republican party’s 2008 nominee.

Cindy McCain tweeted on Tuesday: “My husband John lived by a code: country first. We are Republicans, yes, but Americans foremost. There’s only one candidate in this race who stands up for our values as a nation, and that is Joe Biden.”

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/sep/22/cindy-mccain-rebukes-trump-and-publicly-endorses-joe-biden?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other

My only surprise is that Cindy McCain waited this long to endorse Joe Biden.  She already helped in producing the video outlining John McCain and Joe Biden's friendship which was shown at the Democratic National Convention.  I honestly don't know whether John McCain himself would have endorsed Joe Biden; I can't see him turning his back on the Republican party in that way.

I will not vote for Trump for the same reasons that Cindy McCain is endorsing Biden.  I find Trump's past comments about John McCain deplorable.  I find President Trump's leadership on COVID-19 wanting even though, in the background, his administration has done a decent job in coping with it despite his comments.  I am distressed by Trump's trolling of the media.

On that account, I will not vote for President this year.  This is because while I will not approve of Trump, I also cannot approve of a Democratic agenda which supports abortion as a protected right and advocates identity politics.   If this means that Biden is elected, then so be it.  The president is but one part of the overall running of this country, and I will support the Republican party and its agenda in many other ways.

I do not know where Cindy McCain, those in the Lincoln Project, and so forth will go after this election.  Given some of their backgrounds, I sadly expect some of them to find a new home in the Democratic Party.   However, I am hopeful that some may either infuse new life into the Libertarian or Constitution parties or start a new party movement such as the Tea Party movement did. 

45
Your Turn / Re: Election 2020
« on: September 22, 2020, 05:46:30 PM »
Rather than simply beating these same old drums, what do you suggest might move us back toward the days when Supreme Court nominees were routinely confirmed by an overwhelming bipartisan majority?
How about a Constitutional amendment permanently fixing the size of the Supreme Court at nine justices and requiring a two-thirds majority for Senate confirmation?  An alternative to the latter, which accepts the partisan nature of the process rather than trying to eliminate it, is to replace lifetime tenure with staggered non-renewable 18-year terms, so that there would be a new justice every two years.
Given current divisions, requiring a 2/3 majority would likely result in a gradually decreasing number of Justices because as Justices retired or died they would not be replaced.

What has interested me in the last day or so is whether Amy Coney Barrett might be being used as a stalking horse for Barbara Lagoa.  Lagoa is more moderate than Barrett and does not have as much of a history regarding abortion rulings.  She also is Roman Catholic and reputed to be personally pro-life.

I don't know that the Democrats are at all interested in a bipartisan confirmation given what is going on, but I do wonder whether Lagoa might be a little easier to get through the confirmation process.

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