THis is as good or bad a place to post this, though I thought about posting it in the LiftELCA thread, never mind though, here it is:
According to ARDA
http://www.thearda.com/Denoms/D_1415.asp these are the stats for the ELCA until 2008. I took the liberty to add the change column.
Yr pastors cong. members change
1987 17,052 11,133 5,288,230
1988 16,083 11,120 5,251,534 -36,696
1989 17,246 11,067 5,238,798 -12,736
1990 17,402 11,087 5,240,739 1,941
1991 17,426 11,074 5,245,177 4,438
1992 17,416 11,055 5,234,568 -10,609
1993 17,455 11,023 5,212,785 -21,783
1994 17,322 10,973 5,199,048 -13,737
1995 17,425 10,955 5,190,489 -8,559
1996 17,402 10,936 5,180,910 -9,579
1997 17,510 10,889 5,185,055 4,145
1998 17,589 10,862 5,178,225 -6,830
1999 17,611 10,851 5,149,668 -28,557
2000 17,651 10,816 5,125,919 -23,749
2001 17,693 10,766 5,099,877 -26,042
2002 17,706 10,721 5,038,006 -61,871
2003 17,666 10,657 4,984,925 -53,081
2004 17,725 10,585 4,930,429 -54,496
2005 17,665 10,549 4,850,776 -79,653
2006 17,655 10,470 4,774,203 -76,573
2007 17,619 10,448 4,709,956 -64,247
2008 17,660 10,396 4,633,887 -76,069
Based on 5 million membership the average synod has 76,000 members. That means that between 2002 and 2008 we lost almost a synod worth of people per year.
I have no interest in revisiting the sundry reasons and gripes that are associated with membership loss in our church. It is what it is and it is multi faceted. What I am however thinking is that the idea to rework the synod system, i.e. how many, where and how, really needs to be asked now. There is rumored to be a process afoot that will redraw lines and make fewer synods - maybe we will end up with more synods instead only constitutionally reorganized radically different from today, who knows, bureaucracies are famous for producing the opposite of what they were intended to achieve.
So how should we be synod, where, and how many synods do you think we should have?